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Markets
The Markets Desk
Equities, fixed income, FX, commodities, and the offshore capital flows that connect them. Reporting from George Town, New York, London, Tokyo, and Frankfurt.
When deal bankers line up debt buyers well ahead of need, they are not being efficient. They are insuring against a financing market they no longer trust to stay open.
When a launch company starts quoting a multi-trillion-dollar compute market, the AI contest has shifted from who has the best model to who controls the physical capacity to run it.
Technology giants funding AI build-outs with bonds are concentrating the high-grade market around one theme. Diversified buyers may be less diversified than they think.
Event-contract platforms have grown from novelty to a market structure regulators must now classify. How that classification lands will shape an entire asset class.
High-yield spreads have compressed to levels that leave little margin for error. The danger is not today's defaults but the thin cushion against tomorrow's.
A homebuilder moving from profit to loss is more than one company's bad quarter. It is evidence that high rates have locked the market in place rather than cooled it.
Foreign giants borrowing in yen is a quiet arbitrage: even after Japan's rate moves, its bond market remains a low-cost funding source for those who can use it.
An exchange operator planning a futures market for compute is proposing something larger than a new contract: a price signal for the most contested input in the economy.